We have learned that masks worked from mathematical analysis and modeling but also from what happened in society. What mathematicians are doing to help prevent the next one is basically working on lessons we have learned.
What role can mathematicians play in finding and preventing the next pandemic? and perhaps saved hundreds of thousands of lives. would have dramatically altered the course of the pandemic in the U.S. This means hitting the disease hard early, before it enters the exponential phase of transmission. We showed in our paper on lockdown measures that the number of cases, hospitalizations and mortality would have been dramatically reduced if we had started community lockdowns a week or two earlier than we did. Tell me about a time that one of your recent findings surprised you. Gumel spoke to Scientific American about using mathematics to combat infectious diseases and the questions he hopes to address before the next pandemic hits. Succeeding in this quest, however, requires that they unite with experts from other fields and work together to solve these multifaceted disease transmission problems. Mathematicians such as him are indispensable to the mission of identifying and averting the next pandemic. He was recently elected to the current class of fellows of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. One such researcher is Abba Gumel, a mathematician and mathematical biologist at the University of Maryland, College Park. Mathematicians have continued this work to the present day, including during the COVID pandemic. For instance, 18th-century Swiss mathematician Daniel Bernoulli is credited with developing the first mathematical epidemiology model, which focused on analyzing the effects of smallpox inoculation on life expectancy. For centuries, mathematicians have tackled questions related to epidemics and pandemics, along with potential responses to them. Predicting and understanding disease outbreaks doesn't just involve epidemiology.
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